BizDealIQ

Methodology

How the valuations and math actually work

No black box. Here's exactly how BizDealIQ turns a listing into a verdict — the comp ranges, the formulas, and where the numbers come from.

Valuation: SDE × industry multiple

Small, owner-operated businesses are valued on SDE (Seller's Discretionary Earnings) — roughly the total annual benefit to a single owner-operator (net profit plus the owner's salary, perks, and one-time add-backs). BizDealIQ multiplies your SDE by a curated low / typical / high multiple for the industry to produce a defensible value range:

value range = SDE × (low … typical … high industry multiple)

The multiple is looked up from the table below and applied to your SDE in code — it is never invented by the AI. The same inputs always produce the same range.

IndustryLowTypicalHigh
Laundromat2.50×3.50×4.50×
Car Wash3.00×4.00×5.50×
HVAC2.50×3.25×4.50×
Plumbing2.00×3.00×4.00×
Landscaping / Lawn Care2.00×2.75×3.75×
Restaurant / Food Service1.50×2.25×3.00×
E-commerce2.50×3.50×5.00×
Marketing / Creative Agency2.00×3.00×4.50×
Self-Storage4.00×6.00×8.00×
Vending1.50×2.25×3.00×
Auto Repair Shop2.00×2.75×3.75×
Cleaning / Janitorial1.75×2.75×3.75×
Salon / Spa1.50×2.25×3.25×
Daycare / Childcare2.50×3.25×4.25×
Gym / Fitness Studio1.50×2.50×3.50×
Liquor Store2.00×2.75×3.50×
Electrical Contractor2.25×3.00×4.00×
Pest Control3.00×4.00×5.50×
Convenience Store2.00×2.75×3.50×
Other / General Small Business2.00×3.00×4.00×

Source & basis: BizBuySell Insight Report + BVR/Business Reference Guide broker rules-of-thumb, 2024–2025. These are rule-of-thumb ranges across 19+ industries, not appraisals. They represent where small, owner-operated businesses in each category typically trade. Actual value depends on add-back quality, lease terms, customer concentration, recurring revenue, and many factors a real appraisal would weigh — multiples are applied to SDE only.

The SOWS acquisition score

Popularized by Codie Sanchez, SOWS scores how good an acquisition target is. Counter-intuitively, a higher score is better — the more stale, old, weak, and simple a business is, the more upside a new owner can unlock. BizDealIQ scores every deal on all four dimensions and recomputes the total in code so shortlists are directly comparable.

SStale

Outdated marketing, branding, and operations — the easiest upside to capture after you take over.

OOld

A long-tenured, often retirement-age seller who is motivated and more likely to finance the deal.

WWeak

Under-optimized systems, pricing, and processes you can tighten up quickly.

SSimple

A business model simple enough that a new owner can actually run and grow it.

Deterministic financing math

Every payment and ratio is computed from a real formula — not estimated by a language model. These are the exact calculations behind the free calculators and the analyzer's deal economics.

Monthly payment (amortized loan)

M = P · r · (1+r)^n / ((1+r)^n − 1)

P = principal, r = monthly rate (annual rate ÷ 12), n = number of months. The basis for seller-note and SBA payments and the full amortization schedule.

DSCR (debt-service coverage ratio)

DSCR = SDE / annual debt service

How comfortably the business covers its loan payments. Under ~1.25× is tight; 1.25–1.5× is workable; above 1.5× is comfortable. Below 1.0× the deal doesn't cover its own debt.

Cash-on-cash return

CoC = (SDE − annual debt service) / cash invested

Your annual return on the cash you actually front (the down payment). Only meaningful once the deal covers its debt.

Simple payback

payback (years) = cash invested / cash flow after debt

How many years of post-debt cash flow it takes to recoup your down payment. 3–5 years is typical; much longer needs a reason.

What the AI does — and doesn't

We use a top AI model only for the judgment calls: reading a messy listing, pulling out the numbers, choosing the closest industry category, scoring the qualitative SOWS factors, and drafting the documents. The numbers that matter — the valuation range, the multiple lookup, the SOWS total, and all the financing math — are computed deterministically in code, so they are consistent, defensible, and never hallucinated.

BizDealIQ provides educational estimates only — not financial, investment, tax, legal, or business-valuation advice. Multiples and outputs are rules of thumb, not appraisals. Always do your own due diligence and consult licensed professionals before making an offer or purchasing a business.

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